Course Notes: Continuous Business Learning
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Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking 2/x
Stephen K. Campbell
Max Kraynov
Jul 23
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Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking 1/x
Stephen K. Campbell
Max Kraynov
Jul 22
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Everything is Obvious 10/10
Parts 7, 8, 9. MK: there’s not a lot to summarize here, but I’ll try. Friends, whether close or not, consistently believe themselves to be more similar…
Max Kraynov
Jul 20
4
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Everything is Obvious 9/x
Parts 6, 7, 8. We treat people who drive drunk and not kill anyone (or damage property) way more leniently than those who do (and eventually get caught…
Max Kraynov
Jul 19
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Everything is Obvious 8/x
Parts 5, 6, 7. Emergent strategies (like Zara’s 2-week design turnaround) are not about predicting trends, but about the quick reaction of the things t…
Max Kraynov
Jul 12
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Everything is Obvious 7/x
Parts 4, 5, 6. 7/ The Best-Laid Plans There are two kinds of events that arise in complex social systems: the ones conforming to some stable historical…
Max Kraynov
Jun 28
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Everything is Obvious 6/x
Parts 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. 6/ The Dream of Prediction Our eagerness to make predictions about the future is matched only by our reluctance to be held account…
Max Kraynov
Jun 24
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Everything is Obvious 5/x
Parts 1, 2, 3, 4. 5/ History, the Fickle Teacher Science requires the repeatability of outcomes should the starting conditions, the environment and the…
Max Kraynov
Jun 23
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Everything is Obvious 4/x
Parts 1, 2, 3. 4/ Special People When people are trying to reach other people (6 degrees of separation), they don’t go to the best-connected people; th…
Max Kraynov
Jun 22
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Everything Is Obvious 3/x
Parts 1, 2. 3/ The Wisdom (and Madness) of Crowds Circular reasoning – X succeeded because X had the attributes of X – pervades common sense explanatio…
Max Kraynov
Jun 21
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Everything Is Obvious 2/x
part 1 2/ Thinking About Thinking Default policy options (opt-in vs opt-out) make a huge difference when it comes to outcomes (e.g. organ donations). S…
Max Kraynov
Jun 7
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Everything Is Obvious 1/x
source 1/ The Myth of Common Sense The book quotes the debunked Milgram experiment (using high voltage to punish students). Not good. Our lives are gui…
Max Kraynov
Jun 4
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